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  pdftitle={What Questions?},
  pdfauthor={Ivo Welch},
  hidelinks,
  pdfcreator={LaTeX via pandoc}}
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\title{What Questions?}
\subtitle{What we've got here is a failure to communicate --- Captain.}
\author{Ivo Welch}
\date{December 31, 2021}

\usepackage{/Users/ivo/.pandoc/templates/pandoc-preamble} %% iaw; will in turn include local directory file pandoc.sty

\begin{document}
\frame{\titlepage}

\begin{frame}{Facts}
\protect\hypertarget{facts}{}
\begin{itemize}
\tightlist
\item
  OECD : 3x energy/person, 2x emissions/person
\item
  OECD : 18\% of world population
\item
  Global Temp rising : World will change greatly.
\item
  Externalities : Tax them! (\(50/tCO~2\)?)
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Wrong Question}
\protect\hypertarget{wrong-question}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  What should the world do?
\item
  What should be the SCC?
\item
  What should be the tax?
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Right Question}
\protect\hypertarget{right-question}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  What will decision-makers do?
\item
  How can they be influenced?
\item
  What will be the outcome?
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Humanity}
\protect\hypertarget{humanity}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  We are not the Borg!
\item
  Tunnel Vision is futile
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Can We Go It Alone?}
\protect\hypertarget{can-we-go-it-alone}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  250 GtCO\textsubscript{2} reduces temp by 0.1°C.
\item
  Climate change 3.0°C instead of 2.9°C.

  \begin{itemize}
  \item
    50 years of no USA.
  \item
    100 years of half-USA.
  \end{itemize}
\item
  Neither has a chance of happening based on economic hardship.
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Eu And Us And Oecd?}
\protect\hypertarget{eu-and-us-and-oecd}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  Only 1/3 of emissions in 2022.
\item
  Only 1/4 in a generation in 2050
\item
  US/EU shrinking. Others growing.

  \begin{itemize}
  \tightlist
  \item
    Galling?
  \end{itemize}
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Pay For Non-Oecd?}
\protect\hypertarget{pay-for-non-oecd}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  Way too much \$s to receive political approval.
\item
  \emph{Unanimous} vote in U.S. Senate against us cleaning up our own
  shit if others do not.
\item
  Would they vote to pay for others??
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Platitudes}
\protect\hypertarget{platitudes}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  When you think you can successfully appeal to \emph{global} human
  altruism.
\item
  When you state ``The World should \ldots{}''

  WTH? This is \emph{not} how it works.
\item
  When you propose climate-change related ``wellness'' initiatives
\end{itemize}

\begin{quote}
Appeals don't work. The US cannot even \emph{through appeals} get its
\emph{own} citizens to take the safest vaccine in human history. There
are things we can do, though---wait until later in the course.
\end{quote}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Fun With Wellness}
\protect\hypertarget{fun-with-wellness}{}
\begin{itemize}
\tightlist
\item
  When you propose climate-change related ``wellness'' initiatives, like
  carbon footprint reductions.
\end{itemize}

~

\begin{quote}
(Think
\href{https://goop.com/wellness/environmental-health-civics/the-best-climate-change-solution-weve-heard/}{Goop}.
And the following are the more PG-rated products.)
\end{quote}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}
\includegraphics{goop1.png}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}
\includegraphics{goop2.png}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{You Educated Folks\ldots{}}
\protect\hypertarget{you-educated-folks}{}
\begin{quote}
Let's talk magnitudes.
\end{quote}

\begin{itemize}
\item
  Biden signed the \$1 trillion infrastructure bill in November 2021.
\item
  What does this really mean?

  \begin{itemize}
  \item
    Would \$2 trillion have been better?
  \item
    Democrats want(ed) \$3+ trillion.
  \end{itemize}
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  How many voters understand the difference between \$1 billion and \$1
  trillion?

  \begin{itemize}
  \tightlist
  \item
    And how many voters just follow partisan lines?
  \end{itemize}
\end{itemize}

~

\begin{quote}
Infrastructure can be a great investment. However, it depends on the
type and spending. Think
\href{https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2020/1/27/how-much-does-a-mile-of-road-actually-cost}{\$5m
for 1 lane per mile}. With 50 houses per mile, think \$100,000 per house
construction or asphalt highway. With 4-lanes, you can build full houses
or just lanes for the same cost.
\end{quote}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}
\begin{quote}
Does AOC understand before she votes? Does Tucker Carlson before he
shoots his mouth off? I do not know.
\end{quote}

\begin{quote}
Someone will have to pay for spending plans\ldots think mostly you.
\end{quote}

\begin{quote}
Think in terms of mortgage --- how fast is your income still growing? If
your income is growing fast, then your mortgage today can be bigger and
it will over time diminish in importance. If your income is no longer
growing but shrinking, your budget (i.e.~the US budget) will hit a wall
--- unless you can bring in more money. This means primarily
\textbf{\emph{your taxes}} --- upper middle income.
\end{quote}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Estimated Cost Of War On Terror}
\protect\hypertarget{estimated-cost-of-war-on-terror}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  \href{https://www.brown.edu/news/2021-09-01/costsofwar}{\$8 trillion
  and about 1 million dead?}
\item
  That's about \$65,000 per US household.

  \begin{itemize}
  \tightlist
  \item
    (Not an annual but a total expense, though.)
  \end{itemize}
\item
  Avg US HH worked about 1 in 20 years for WoT.

  \begin{itemize}
  \tightlist
  \item
    could not have paid taxes for two years!
  \end{itemize}
\end{itemize}

\begin{quote}
War on Terror is not a substitute for War on CC. US won't spend less on
military. Eisenhower
\href{https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military\%E2\%80\%93industrial_complex}{warned
us}. But ``\emph{The US should\ldots{}}'' is not how it works, either.
Spending has a different dynamic.
\end{quote}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Problem Of Magnitudes}
\protect\hypertarget{problem-of-magnitudes}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  Climate change is principally a problem of \emph{incomprehensibly
  gigantic} magnitudes.

  \begin{itemize}
  \tightlist
  \item
    I will \emph{try} to make the numbers more comprehensible.
  \end{itemize}
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Sidenote}
\protect\hypertarget{sidenote}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  Solutions to reduce CO\textsubscript{2} in the atmosphere need to be
  like \href{https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chain_letter}{chain letters}
  with a self-dynamic to reach not just USA but the greater world!
\item
  The world will have to \textbf{\emph{want}} to copy.
\item
  Any other ``solutions'' won't work.

  \begin{itemize}
  \item
    OECD does not control world emissions.
  \item
    Goop and you do not, either.
  \end{itemize}
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\begin{frame}{Conclusion}
\protect\hypertarget{conclusion}{}
\begin{itemize}
\item
  Nations are selfish. Small sacrifices perhaps. Some countries perhaps.
\item
  There are no world solutions without the non-OECD countries.
\item
  Need voluntary adoptions.
\end{itemize}
\end{frame}

\end{document}
