Linking Emissions

KAYA

Ivo Welch

December 31, 2021

Review: Emissions / Energy Consumption

Energy To Emissions

Energy To Emissions Relationship

The Power Of Activism

 

Lying with statistics: The rooster did not raise the sun. Yes, climate activism mattered: energy 1960s growth rate > 2000s. Both slowed in the mid-1970s already.

Global Climate Change (GCC)

Climate change is not intentional. It’s a “unintended side effect.”

 

  1. Population

  2. Energy use

  3. Emissions

  4. Climate Change

Total Primary Energy Use

Total Primary Energy Use

Warning

2050e (B, Kwh, Pwh)

Area Pop pCpD Total
OECD 1.5 150 80
USA 0.4 220 32
Non-OECD 8.2 60 180
China 1.4 110 60
India 1.6 60 35
World 9.7 75 260

Per Capita

What will the average American happily give up?

 

Solutions Must Scale

Watch this Youtube: Tesla as a solution to our energy!

Per Person Per Day (Pppd)

Stable:

Growing:

Skip Efficiency

Efficiency Per GDP: Omitted

 

(But countries do different things.)

Where Is The World Going?

  1. Predict Population

  2. Predict Energy Use Per Person

    • consider efficiency gains

    • assume only historical patterns.

Balloney?

What about the clean energy revolution?

Clean Energy Revolution?

Get It Now?

 

This is the basic problem of civilization today.

It’s not hopeless. There are things that you and the world can do, but not necessarily what you read in the media.

Presumably, this is why you are taking this course.