OECD vs. Non-OECD
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OECD: Rich
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Not OECD: Not Rich (Mid-Income or Poor)
OECD vs. Non-OECD Emissions
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Emissions no longer primarily OECD / US problem.
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Most important emitter now China +.
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Principal emissions growth now India and developing world.
If non-OECD countries don’t clean up their acts, too, the world will emit a lot more GHGs sooner than later.
Reducing Emissions, 2050e
| Area | Pop | pCpD | Total | Emi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OECD | 1.5 | 150 | 80 | 12 |
| USA | 0.4 | 220 | 32 | 5 |
| Non-OECD | 8.2 | 60 | 180 | 31 |
| China | 1.4 | 110 | 60 | 11 |
| India | 1.6 | 60 | 35 | 6 |
| World | 9.7 | 75 | 260 | 43 |
Irrelevant: “Responsibility”
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There will be no contrition transfers!
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… but morbid fun.
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See next pages for cumulative “responsibility”
Current Emissions “Responsibility”
(Linked Bar Chart Race)
Per Person Per Year, Areas
Poorer Countries’ Aspirations
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Lower or higher emissions?
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Where will poor countries want to go?
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Where will poor countries go?
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Does it matter what you think?
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Does it matter whether Biden likes it?
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Does it matter whether the EU or UN likes it?
💊
Perspective: California / SoCal / LA / UCLA
- California = largest US state (1/2 Germany)
- 10t/psn x 40 m = 0.4 GtCO2
- 8 of 1000 pebbles
- SoCal (Los Angeles Metro Area, 12m)
- 1/3 of California
- 3 of 1000 pebbles
- Los Angeles City (4m)
- 1/3 of SoCal
- 1 of 1000 pebbles
- UCLA (50,000)
- 1/100 of 1 pebble
- Anderson (3,000)
- 1/1000 of 1 pebble.
- Salt crystal anyone?
- You?